FNUS71 KBGM 080616 FWSBGM SPOT FORECAST FOR EALES 5 AND 6...PENNSYLVANIA GAME COMMISSION/THE NATURE CONSERVANC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON, NY 216 AM EDT WED AUG 8 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON AUGUST 08. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT WILL BRING THE CHANCE OF A LATE AFTERNOON OR EVENING THUNDERSTORM. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REDEVELOP ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS GENERALLY LIGHT THROUGH THE PERIOD. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84. MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5500-6400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH. DEWPOINT............57. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. SURFACE WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............5 5 9 13 WEATHER COV......... S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR TSTM COV............ S CHC TEMP................73 79 83 84 DEWPOINT............58 59 58 58 RH..................59 50 43 41 20 FT WIND..........SW 2 SW 4 SW 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 2 SW 3 SW 4 SW 4 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 5 SURFACE WIND........SW 3 SW 5 SW 6 SW 6 SURFACE WND GST.....5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........600 3800 6400 6400 TRANSPORT WIND......W 6 SW 8 SW 9 SW 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 10 10 20 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66. MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 13 MPH. DEWPOINT............59. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT. SURFACE WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............15 18 30 35 38 24 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............S CHC S CHC S CHC TEMP................82 78 73 70 69 67 DEWPOINT............58 60 59 59 58 58 RH..................44 54 62 68 68 73 20 FT WIND..........SW 4 SW 3 S 2 S 1 SW 1 SW 1 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 3 SW 2 S 1 S 1 SW 1 SW 1 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 5 SURFACE WIND........SW 5 SW 4 S 2 S 1 SW 1 SW 1 SURFACE WND GST.....5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........5500 300 300 300 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND......SW 9 SW 10 SW 10 SW 12 SW 12 SW 12 CHC OF PCPN (%).....20 20 20 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX........4 5 5 4 4 5 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80. MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3700-4600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 18 MPH. DEWPOINT............60...INCREASING TO 62 LATE IN THE MORNING. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. SURFACE WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............24 38 52 58 60 71 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................66 68 73 77 79 80 DEWPOINT............58 59 62 64 63 62 RH..................75 73 68 64 58 54 20 FT WIND..........SW 2 SW 2 SW 2 SW 4 SW 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 1 SW 1 SW 2 SW 3 SW 4 SW 4 EYE LVL WND GST..... 5 5 SURFACE WIND........SW 2 SW 2 SW 3 SW 5 SW 6 SW 6 SURFACE WND GST..... 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........300 600 600 1500 4600 4600 TRANSPORT WIND......SW 13 SW 14 SW 14 SW 16 SW 18 SW 18 CHC OF PCPN (%).....10 10 20 20 30 40 HAINES INDEX........5 5 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...BRADY REQUESTED BY...PATRICK MCELHENNY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120808.EALES.01/BGM