FNUS75 KGJT 091559
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR HELL ROARING...UT-MIFC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
959 AM MDT THU AUG 9 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1723 MDT ON AUGUST 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE INCREASED OVERNIGHT AND A WEAK DISTURBANCE
IS PASSING TO THE NORTH THIS AFTERNOON. ALL OF THIS MEANS AN
INCREASED CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. LIGHT SOUTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT WILL ALLOW LA SAL MOUNTAINS STORMS TO THREATEN THE BURN SITE
TODAY. ISOLATED STORMS MAY CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. FRIDAY THE MOISTURE
AND AFTERNOON INSTABILITY ARE STILL IN PLACE BUT THE UPPER FLOW
VEERS TO WEST AND THEN NORTHWEST FRIDAY EVENING. THIS WILL MOVE
LA SAL MOUNTAIN STORMS AWAY FROM THE BURN SITE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 2-7 MPH WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS
                    TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CLEARING INDEX......INCREASING TO GREATER THAN 500 AFTER NOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1300...THEN 4.

.TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........44-49%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 1-5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CLEARING INDEX......300 TO 100.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................2.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). ISOLATED SHOWERS IN
                    THE MORNING...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 1-5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5-10
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CLEARING INDEX......200 IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 1000 IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...FORGENSI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120808.HELLR.01/GJT