FNUS75 KGJT 081854
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR MARSHALL CREEK...TELLURIDE FIRE DISTRICT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1254 PM MDT WED AUG 8 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1238 MDT ON AUGUST 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MARGINAL MOISTURE LINGERS OVER THE SAN JUAN
MOUNTAINS TODAY. THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ALREADY FORMED SOUTH OF LIZARD
HEAD AND SCATTERED STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM OVER HIGHER TERRAIN
NEAR THE FIRE. THESE STORMS WILL BE VERY SLOW MOVERS AND HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE RAIN...GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH AND LIGHTNING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-80 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-23%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST-WEST 3-7 MPH WITH ISOLATED AFTERNOON
                    GUSTS TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR EXCEPT EXCELLENT NEAR STORMS.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....UPVALLEY/NORTHWEST 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...516
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120808.MARSH.07/GJT