FNUS72 KJAX 081319
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOG VALLEY...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
919 AM EDT WED AUG 8 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0915 EDT ON AUGUST 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A MOIST SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION THIS
WEEK...WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND A SERIES OF
TROUGHS AFFECTING THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. THE RESULT OVER
NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA WILL BE MAINLY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
                    DURING THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH DURING THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0900...THEN 3 UNTIL 1600...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-3100 FT AGL
                    DURING THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 23 IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........64     68     72     72     73
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............82     87     89     89     87
RH..............89     73     62     61     66
20 FT WIND......SW 5   SW 7   SW 8   W 8    SW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1400   2400   3100   3100   2700
TRANSPORT WIND..S 5    SW 8   W 10   W 9    W 7
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     50     50     60     60
LAL.............3      3      3      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF EVENING
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    THEN BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....11 DECREASING TO 3 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LVORI...............8.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........71     54     50     48     48     45
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............86     82     79     78     77     76
RH..............66     76     83     86     89     91
20 FT WIND......SW 7   SW 3   SW 2   SW 2   SW 2   SW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....2400   1600   1200   900    700    600
TRANSPORT WIND..W 6    SW 5   S 5    S 6    SW 6   SW 7
LVORI...........3      4      4      6      7      8
CHC OF PCPN (%).50     20     10     10     10     10
LAL.............3      2      1      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...SANDRIK
REQUESTED BY...BRAD WHITTINGTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120808.HOGVA.01/JAX