FNUS76 KMFR 090052 CCA
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR LICK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
541 PM PDT WED AUG 8 2012

CORRECTED TO ADD MIXING HEIGHT AND MIXING WINDS

.DISCUSSION...
TONIGHT WILL BE THE BEGINNING OF A SERIES OF NIGHTS WITH LIGHT
OFFSHORE FLOW. THIS SHOULD ENHANCE DRAINAGE FLOW SLIGHTLY OUT OF THE
EAST, BUT LOCAL TERRAIN SHOULD RESULT IN MORE OF A SOUTHEAST WIND.
ON WEDNESDAY EXPECT IT TO BE A LITTLE WARMER BUT NOT QUITE AS DRY AS
TODAY. WINDS SHOULD MORE DEFINITIVELY FOLLOW THE LOCAL
VALLEY-MOUNTAIN CIRCULATION PATTERN. RECOVERIES WILL BE MODERATE TO
POOR ACROSS THE NEARBY RIDGES, BUT MODERATE TO GOOD IN THE VALLEYS.
THUS, SHOULD THE FIRE GAIN ELEVATION THE WEATHER WILL BE MORE
FAVORABLE FOR BURNING THAN IT WILL BE DOWN LOWER, ESPECIALLY
OVERNIGHT.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY DUE TO HIGH
                    CLOUDS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-80 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST 1-3 MPH THIS EVENING, BECOMING LIGHT AND
                    VARIABLE AROUND SUNSET, THEN DOWNSLOPE AND DOWN
                    VALLEY SOUTHEAST 0-2 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO 500 FT AGL OR LESS MID-EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH BECOMING EAST 5-10 MPH, EXCEPT
                    SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH ABOVE 5000 FEET AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH 5-15 MPH, BECOMING EAST 5 MPH AROUND SUNSET,
                    THEN SOUTHEAST 5-10 MPH.


.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY DUE TO HIGH CLOUDS IN THE MORNING,
                    THEN CLEARING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86 TO 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST 0-2 MPH EARLY, BECOMING WEST AND THEN
                    NORTHWEST 2-4 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL LATE MORNING, THEN 4000
                    FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 MPH EARLY, BECOMING WEST AND THEN
                    NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 5-10 MPH BECOMING WEST AND THEN NORTHWEST
                    5-15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.


.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45 TO 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-90 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BECOMING DOWNSLOPE AND DOWNVALLEY SOUTHEAST 1-3
                    MPH MID TO LATE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO 500 FT AGL OR LESS LATE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........BECOMING EAST 5-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.


$$
FORECASTER...LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...TIFFANY MANGER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120808.LICK_.01/MFR