FNUS75 KGJT 100505
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROCK DRAW...UT-MIFC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1104 PM MDT THU AUG 9 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2234 MDT ON AUGUST 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MONSOONAL MOISTURE AND WEAK WAVE PASSING ALOFT IS KEEP SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY GOING INTO THE LATE EVENING HOURS. THIS
TREND HAS DECREASING AND DO NOT EXPECT PRECIPITATION TO REACH
THE FIRE SITE...HOWEVER OUTFLOW WINDS FROM STORMS TO THE NORTH MAY
BRING SOME GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. OTHERWISE
OVERNIGHT WINDS SHOULD BE TERRAIN DRIVEN. WITH MOISTURE IN PLACE
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED TO RE-DEVELOP DURING THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS AGAIN ON FRIDAY. GUSTY OUTFLOW
WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THREAT TO FIRE SITE IN THE
AFTERNOON. WINDS SHOULD BE INCREASING FROM THE WEST BY LATE
MORNING AS MIXING INCREASES.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THROUGH MIDNIGHT THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57 TO 62 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........60 TO 65%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE WINDS AT 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY OUTFLOW
                    WINDS POSSIBLE THROUGH 0100.
CLEARING INDEX......DECREASING TO 50 BY MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL OR LESS OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE AT 8 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING WITH ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY MID MORNING.
                    BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87 TO 90 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE WINDS 5 MPH THROUGH MID MORNING
                    BECOMING WEST AND INCREASING TO 8 TO 13 MPH
                    BY EARLY AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CLEARING INDEX......100 THROUGH MID MORNING THEN INCREASING TO
                    1050 BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL THROUGH MID MORNING INCREASING TO
                    12600 FT AGL BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 11 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...IC ALBERTS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120809.ROCKD.01/GJT