FNUS74 KLCH 091217
FWSLCH

SPOT FORECAST FOR BACKRIDGE 12...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
717 AM CDT THU AUG 9 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SUFFICIENT MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY OVER THE
AREA...COMBINED WITH MINOR DISTURBANCES IN A NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT
...WILL MAINTAIN A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE
BEGINNING OF THE WEEKEND. DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BECOME
REESTABLISHED WITH RAIN CHANCES DIMINISHING.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-3900 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........58  57  56  55  55  54  53  53  52  51  50  50
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............81  83  85  87  88  89  89  89  89  89  88  86
RH..............83  77  71  68  66  64  63  63  63  64  66  69
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6   7   7   7   8   8   9   9   9   10  12  12
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.5   5   5   5   6   6   6   7   7   8   9   9
EYE LVL WND GST.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 3.0 3.7 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.8 3.5 3.0 2.6
MIX HGT (KM)....0.6 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 0.9 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.6   7   7   7   6   6   7   9   10  12  12  13
TRANS SPD (M/S).3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   5   5   6
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-5300 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

$$
FORECASTER...MARCOTTE
REQUESTED BY...JON KING
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120809.BACKR.01/LCH