FNUS76 KMFR 092216
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR FORT COMPLEX BRANCH 1...SOCAL IMT #1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
316 PM PDT THU AUG 9 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1434 PDT ON AUGUST 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WEAKENS SLIGHTLY TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY
AS A WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVES INTO THE AREA. THEN HIGH PRESSURE QUICKLY
STRENGTHENS OVER THE AREA THIS WEEKEND.  EXPECT SLIGHTLY COOLER
TEMPERATURES  FRIDAY COMPARED TO TODAY. ON THE SLOPES...WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE DOMINATED BY SLOPE AND VALLEY DRIVEN WINDS.
AT THE RIDGE TOP...LIGHT OFFSHORE EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS ARE
 EXPECTED OVER THE AREA TONIGHT WITH WINDS GENERALLY OUT OF THE
NORTH TO NORTHWEST DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL
INCREASE ON THE WEEKEND. ALSO EXPECT STRONGER OFFSHORE WINDS
TO DEVELOP AT THE RIDGE LEVEL FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING.
THESE WINDS WILL WEAKEN AGAIN SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING.
POOR TO MODERATE HUMIDITY  RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY MORNING.


.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. PATCHY SMOKE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-93.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY WINDS OF
                    3 TO 5 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
                    AT THE TOP OF THE BURN EXPECT NORTHEAST WINDS
                    2 TO 4 MPH IN THE MORNING TO BECOME NORTH
                    TO NORTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1000-3000 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4000-5500
                    FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST TO NORTHEAST AROUND 5 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING
                    NORTH 6 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY WINDS OF 2 TO 5 MPH
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. AT THE TOP
                    OF THE BURN EXPECT NORTHEAST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH
                    IN THE MORNING TO BE BECOME NORTH TO NORTHWEST
                    6 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY SMOKE AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-63.
MAX HUMIDITY........40-55 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY WINDS OF 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    EARLY EVENING BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2 TO 4
                    MPH AFTER SUNSET. AT THE TOP OF THE BURN
                    NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF 3 TO 6 MPH TO
                    BECOME EASTERLY DURING THE EVENING AND CONTINUING
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING
                     TO 500-1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    BY LATE EVENING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY WINDS OF 6 TO 12 MPH IN THE
                    EARLY EVENING BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 7
                    MPH AFTER SUNSET. AT THE TOP OF THE BURN
                    NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF 6 TO 12 MPH TO
                    BECOME EASTERLY DURING THE EVENING AND CONTINUING
                    OVERNIGHT.


$$
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM
REQUESTED BY...RICHARD GONZALES
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120809.FORTC.01/MFR