FNUS76 KMFR 092213
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR FORT COMPLEX BRANCH II...SOCAL IMT #1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
313 PM PDT THU AUG 9 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1441 PDT ON AUGUST 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LIGHT OFFSHORE FLOW ON FRIDAY MORNING WILL BECOME UPSLOPE AND UP
VALLEY ON FRIDAY. DUE TO THE VERY COMPLEX TERRAIN, WINDS WILL VARY
WITH DIRECTION AND SPEED BASED ON EXACT LOCATION. FRIDAY NIGHT
OFFSHORE FLOW WILL BE LIGHT TO MODERATE. HOWEVER, THE SLOPE
CONFIGURATION GIVEN WILL CAUSE THE SLOPE WINDS TO INTERFERE WITH
THE LARGER SCALE NORTHEAST WINDS. THERE WILL GOOD RELATIVE HUMIDITY
RECOVERIES IN THE VALLEYS, BUT RECOVERIES WILL BE ONLY MODERATE TO
POOR AT HIGH ELEVATIONS, ESPECIALLY RIDGE TOPS.


.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. PATCHY SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST 1-3 MPH BECOMING UPSLOPE EAST 1-3
                    MPH LATE MORNING, THEN NORTHEAST 3-5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL OR LESS EARLY, INCREASING TO 1500 FT AGL
                    LATE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 3500 TO 5000 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 5-10 MPH, BECOMING EAST-NORTHEAST 5-10
                    MPH, THEN NORTHEAST 10-15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 5-10 MPH BECOMING UPSLOPE EAST 5-10
                    MPH LATE MORNING, THEN NORTHEAST 10-15 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.


.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY SMOKE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50 BOTTOM TO 60 TOP.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT BOTTOM TO 50 PERCENT TOP.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST 1-3 MPH IN THE EVENING DIMINISHING AND
                    BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 0-2 MPH, THEN NORTHEAST 2-4
                    MPH AT TIMES TOWARD MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO 500 FT AGL OR LESS TO EARLY TO MID
                    EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 5-10 MPH BECOMING VARIABLE AT 5 MPH,
                    THEN NORTHEAST 10-15 MPH AT TIMES TOWARD
                    MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 5-10 MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE NORTHWEST
                    AT 5 MPH, THEN NORTHEAST 6-12 MPH AT TIMES TOWARD
                    MORNING.


$$
FORECASTER...LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...RICHARD GONZALES
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120809.FORTC.02/MFR