FNUS72 KMLB 090950
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR JDSP E7 E9 E11...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
550 AM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON AUGUST 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE AXIS OF THE ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE
CENTRAL PENINSULA WILL GENERATE A LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY SURFACE AND
TRANSPORT FLOW. THE WEAK FLOW WILL RESULT IN POOR TO FAIR DISPERSION
CONDITIONS OVER THE BURN SITE THIS AFTERNOON. SURFACE WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO THE EAST AROUND MIDDAY AS THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE DEVELOPS
AND PUSHES INLAND. RELATIVELY DRY AND STABLE AIR WILL IMPEDE SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM FORMATION TODAY WITH OVERALL PRECIPITATION CHANCES
AROUND 20 PERCENT.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                   THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY.......62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 6 TO 10 MPH AROUND
                   MIDDAY.
CHANCE OF PCPN.....20 PERCENT.
LAL................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT......1000-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400-4700 FT AGL
                   LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX...29.
LVORI..............1.

TIME (EDT)         9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
SKY (%)............PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV........                ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE.......                TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP...............84  85  88  88  89  89  87  87  87  86  85  84
RH.................77  72  65  65  64  62  66  67  67  69  69  70
20 FT WIND DIR.....SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD.....6   7   8   9   10  12  12  12  12  12  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST....        10  10


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                   THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE....AROUND 77.
MAX HUMIDITY.......87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).......SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN.....10 PERCENT.
LAL................2 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT......3400-4700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-2100 FT AGL
                   LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX...6.
LVORI..............5.


.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                   THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY.......60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
                   BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 7 TO
                   12 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN.....40 PERCENT.
LAL................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT......600-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-3900 FT AGL
                   LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX...41.
LVORI..............1.

$$

FORECASTER...BRAGAW
REQUESTED BY...MIRANDA CUNNINGHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120809.JDSPE.01/MLB