FNUS75 KTFX 091430
FWSTFX

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILSON CREEK...FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
830 AM MDT THU AUG 9 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0759 MDT ON AUGUST 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK INSTABILITY EMBEDDED WITHIN THE HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL CAUSE
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP NEAR THE FIRE AREA BY
LATE MORNING...WHICH WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY EVENING. DESPITE
SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES THAN YESTERDAY...DRY CONDITIONS TODAY
WILL MAKE GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS THE MAIN THREAT FROM THUNDERSTORMS.
THE THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE AGAIN ON FRIDAY AS A
DISTURBANCE WITH ASSOCIATED MOISTURE AND A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY
APPROACH THE FIRE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THIS WILL CAUSE CONDITIONS
TO BE SLIGHTLY COOLER AND NOT QUITE AS DRY ON FRIDAY THAN TODAY.
HOWEVER...GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS WILL AGAIN BE A THREAT WITH STORMS
ON FRIDAY.  COULSTON


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING BY LATE MORNING.
                    GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 4 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WIND......WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT WINDS IN THE MORNING BECOMING WEST 5 TO
                    15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT. GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING SOUTHEAST 4 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RIDGE TOP WIND......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT BY MIDNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS IN THE MORNING BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WIND......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT WINDS IN THE MORNING BECOMING WEST 5 TO
                    15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...COULSTON
REQUESTED BY...BJORN WOOD
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120809.WILSO.01/TFX