FNUS75 KBYZ 101921
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR BULL CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
121 PM MDT FRI AUG 10 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1258 MDT ON AUGUST 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR OVER THE FIRE
THE REMAINDER OF TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. WIND GUSTS TO
50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THUNDERSTORMS.  A COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE FIRE LATE TONIGHT. LIGHT WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT
WILL BECOME WEST 5 TO 10 MPH LATE TONIGHT. HUMIDITIES WILL BOTTOM
OUT AT 20 TO 25 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AND RECOVER INTO THE
60S TONIGHT.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................26 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......UPSLOPE/UP-VALLEY WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................32 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
MAX HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING SHIFTING
                    TO THE WEST OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    10 TO 20 MPH LATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4.


$$
FORECASTER...ARTHUR
REQUESTED BY...BULL CREEK IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120810.BULLC.01/BYZ