FNUS75 KBYZ 102016
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR BULL CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
216 PM MDT FRI AUG 10 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1405 MDT ON AUGUST 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR OVER THE FIRE
THE REMAINDER OF TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. WIND GUSTS TO
50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THUNDERSTORMS.  A COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE FIRE LATE TONIGHT. LIGHT WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT
WILL BECOME WEST 5 TO 10 MPH LATE TONIGHT. HUMIDITIES WILL BOTTOM
OUT AT 20 TO 25 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AND RECOVER INTO THE
60S TONIGHT. SATURDAY WILL BE COOLER WITH HIGHER HUMIDITIES THAN
TODAY DUE TO A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE AREA. WEST WINDS
AT 5 TO 15 MPH EARLY...WILL BECOME NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO
15 TO 25 MPH BY LATE IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR THROUGH THE DAY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................26 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......UPSLOPE/UP-VALLEY WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................32 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
MAX HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING SHIFTING
                    TO THE WEST OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    10 TO 20 MPH LATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING THEN CLEARING.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................31 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH EARLY...BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4.

$$
FORECASTER...ARTHUR
REQUESTED BY...BULL CREEK IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120810.BULLC.03/BYZ