FNUS74 KEPZ 101408
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR CAVE CREEK...USFA GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
808 AM MDT FRI AUG 10 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0750 MDT ON AUGUST 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER HIGH CENTERED JUST TO THE NORTH OF BURN AREA WILL HELP TO
SUPPRESS THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON. SIMILAR CONDITIONS
TODAY TO YESTERDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO MID 90S AND SOUTHEAST
WINDS INCREASING IN THE AFTERNOON. AS UPPER HIGH SINKS SLOWLY SOUTH
FOR SATURDAY...SOME MOISTURE TRAPPED UNDERNEATH IT WILL MOVE INTO THE
AREA AND COULD BRING VERY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE TO THE
BURN AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHTER FOR THIS
WEEKEND AS SURFACE RIDGE AXIS SETS UP OVER WESTERN NEW MEXICO.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95 LOWER ELEVATIONS TO 86 HIGHEST.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9600-10300 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........VERY GOOD.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
MAX HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 4 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING THEN
                    BECOMING LIGHT DOWNSLOPE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8600-9600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 KNOTS.


.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97 LOW ELEVATIONS TO 88 HIGH ELEVATIONS.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 14300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 4 KNOTS.



$$
FORECASTER...GRZYWACZ
REQUESTED BY...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120810.CAVEC.01/EPZ