FNUS72 KMFL 101443
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR TURNER WEST...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1043 AM EDT FRI AUG 10 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1021 EDT ON AUGUST 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
INCREASING ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE TODAY WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BEGINNING AROUND 1 PM AND CONTINUING OFF
AND ON THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. THE
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL MOVE WEST AT 10-15 MPH. GUSTY AND SHIFTING
WINDS OF 30-40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS THIS
AFTERNOON. OUTSIDE OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS, SOUTHEAST WINDS THIS
MORNING WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO SOUTH-SOUTHWEST BETWEEN 2 AND 4
PM. LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.

DISPERSION VALUES THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE IN THE POOR TO FAIR RANGE
DUE TO LIGHT WINDS AND INCREASING CLOUDS. LIKELY NOT AS HOT AS
PREVIOUS DAYS DUE TO EARLIER CLOUD COVER AND ONSET OF RAIN.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 49 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....28.
LVORI...............2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM
SKY (%).........48     60     60     60     60     70
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP............86     92     93     88     85     81
RH..............71     56     52     59     68     78
20 FT WIND......SE 4   SE 4   S 5    SW 4   SW 4   E 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     5
MIX HGT (FT)....4500   4500   5000   4500   4500   300
MIXNG WIND......SE 6   SE 6   S 8    S 9    S 9    E 2
DISPERSION IDX..30     30     25     27     27     1
LVORI...........1      1      2      2      2      4
CHC OF PCPN (%).50     50     50     50     50     30
LAL.............3      3      3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 99 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 2 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....1.
LVORI...............7.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 54 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200-4900 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....12 INCREASING TO 22 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...MOLLEDA
REQUESTED BY...ADAM KUNCE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120810.TURNE.01/MFL