FNUS72 KMLB 101021
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR SPSP 18...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
621 AM EDT FRI AUG 10 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON AUGUST 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS MOVING IN OFF THE ATLANTIC
THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE...COVERAGE OF AFTERNOON STORMS IS EXPECTED
TO INCREASE TODAY AS HIGHER MOISTURE SPREADS BACK UP THE PENINSULA.
STORMS SHOULD INITIATE ALONG THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE AROUND
MIDDAY. THERE WILL BE LITTLE STORM MOTION...SO THE BULK OF
ACTIVITY MAY REMAIN TO THE WEST OF THE BURN SITE. HOWEVER...GUSTY
OUTFLOW WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH FROM THE INLAND THUNDERSTORMS COULD
PUSH BACK TO THE COAST DURING THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON. THIS
COULD ALSO GENERATE A SHOWER OR STORM CLOSE TO THE COAST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS WITH
                    A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT SOUTH WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH
                    AROUND MIDDAY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....35.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM RW  RW
TEMP............84  87  87  87  87  86  86  86  85  84  83  82
RH..............70  63  63  65  65  68  68  65  67  70  72  74
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   SE  SE  E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..4   5   9   10  12  12  10  9   9   8   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.                15  15  15  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 4 TO 6 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 500-800 FT AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.
LVORI...............6.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 8 TO 10 MPH
                    AROUND MIDDAY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900-5000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....33.

$$
FORECASTER...LASCODY
REQUESTED BY...DYLAN GAVAGNI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120810.SPSP1.01/MLB