FNUS75 KRIW 102016
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUD LOVE...JOHNSON COUNTY FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
216 PM MDT FRI AUG 10 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1355 MDT ON AUGUST 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING TO FORM ACROSS THE AREA...EXPECT STRONG
AND ERRATIC...CONVECTIVELY DRIVEN WINDS THROUGHOUT THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS BUT WILL
BECOME LESS SEVERE AFTER 2100. THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON WITH MORE STRONG WINDS POSSIBLE TOMORROW.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...ALLEN

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND DRY THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-18 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS TO 60 MPH EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH.
LAL.................6.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300-8300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (105200 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED DRY
                    THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH 2100...THEN WIDELY SCATTERED
                    WET AND DRY THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MIDNIGHT. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-62.
MAX HUMIDITY........58-61 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................6 UNTIL 2100...THEN 3...THEN 2 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200-7200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 3100-4100 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 15 TO
                    16 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (45200-91500 KNOT-FT).

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-29 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 18 TO 24 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (91700 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    (148400 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. WINDS
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...ALLEN
REQUESTED BY...WES JOHNSON
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120810.BUDLO.01/RIW