FNUS75 KABQ 111440
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR CERRO DE A...TAOS BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
840 AM MDT SAT AUG 11 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING
AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE BURN AREA. DUE TO LOW SURFACE
DEWPOINTS...STRONG AND ERRATIC WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT
WITH THESE STORMS AS THEY CONTINUE THROUGH MID EVENING. BASED ON
THE POSITION OF THE UPPER HIGH...STORMS SHOULD GENERALLY MOVE FROM
WEST TO EAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE UP TO 5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
TODAY. GOOD RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT. AN
INCREASE IN SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE LATE
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT AS A BACK DOOR COLD FRONT USHERS
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INTO THE AREA.

FOR TODAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY SUNNY EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                       PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                       AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                       A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
                       THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 76-80.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 26-31 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH
                       INCREASING TO NORTHWEST AND WEST 5 TO 10 MPH
                       IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                        EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......11500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 13 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......VERY GOOD/149443 KNOT-FT AT 1700 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...VERY GOOD/111200 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING VERY GOOD/149443 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                       SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 50-54.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 59-64 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                       WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   VENTILATION TREND...VERY GOOD/132000 KNOT-FT BY EARLY-EVENING
                       BECOMING POOR/2000 KNOT-FT BY LATE-EVENING.

FOR SUNDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING BECOMING PARTLY
                       CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 75-79.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 29-34 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE MORNING
                       BECOMING TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 8 MPH.
                       GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......10500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 7 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD/63000 KNOT-FT AT 1800 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/39072 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING FAIR/55062 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...34

$$

REQUESTED BY...ROBERT J  MONTOYA
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120811.CERRO.01/ABQ