FNUS74 KEPZ 111411
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR CAVE CREEK...GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
811 AM MDT SAT AUG 11 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0752 MDT ON AUGUST 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHEASTERLY THIS AFTERNOON.
RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN NEAR-NIL CHANCES FOR AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS.  A SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE AND AN APPROACHING COLD
FRONT FROM THE NORTH WILL BRING WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
TO THE AREA SUNDAY...WITH THE BEST CHANCES BEING ALONG THE HIGHER
TERRAIN INCLUDING THE EAST SLOPES OF THE BLACKS RANGE.  EXPECT SIMILAR
CONDITIONS ON MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 12500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........125,000 (VERY GOOD)


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
MAX HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH BECOMING LIGHT DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 5
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11600-12600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 KNOTS.


.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). WIDELY SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 14000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 KNOTS.
VENTILATION RATE....70,000 KNOT-FEET (GOOD).


$$
FORECASTER...HARDIMAN
REQUESTED BY...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120811.CAVEC.02/EPZ