FNUS72 KTAE 111024
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR JACKSON GUARD...EGLIN AFB
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
624 AM EDT SAT AUG 11 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON AUGUST 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835.

.DISCUSSION...
ABUNDANT LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND OCCASIONAL RAIN CHANCES WILL KEEP
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AT A MINIMUM FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE. THE
MORE UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN THAT WE HAVE BEEN IN AS OF LATE
WILL BEGIN TO YIELD TO MORE TYPICAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN BEGINNING
SUNDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................80 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO 4900
                    FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 17 MPH. (SEE BELOW FOR 2-HR INCREMENTS)
MAX DISPERSION......51. (CANNOT GIVE DISPERSION IN 2-HR INCREMENTS)

TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........84     70     70     57     54
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTM   TSTM   TSTM   TSTM   TSTM
TEMP............78     83     85     87     87
RH..............87     74     67     62     63
20 FT WIND......SW 5   SW 6   W 6    W 7    SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15
TRANSPORT WINDS.SW10   SW12   SW14   SW17   SW15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING...
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL IN THE EARLY EVENING...DECREASING
                    TO 600 FT AGL TOWARD DAYBREAK.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 15 MPH. (SEE BELOW FOR 2-HR INCREMENTS)
MIN DISPERSION......6. (CANNOT GIVE DISPERSION IN 2-HR INCREMENTS)

TIME (CDT)      5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM
SKY (%).........54     52     52     49     48     48
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTM   TSTM   TSTM   TSTM   TSTM   TSTM
TEMP............85     81     78     76     75     74
RH..............66     74     82     86     86     88
20 FT WIND......SW 6   SW 5   SW 4   SW 3   SW 2   W 2
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10     10     10     5
TRANSPORT WINDS.SW15   SW12   SW 8   SW 8   SW 8   SW 8

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS IN THE MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO 7000
                    FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 8 MPH. (SEE BELOW FOR 2-HR INCREMENTS)
MAX DISPERSION......68. (CANNOT GIVE DISPERSION IN 2-HR INCREMENTS)

TIME (CDT)      5 AM   7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM
SKY (%).........43     38     38     41     44     44
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTM   TSTM   TSTM   TSTM   TSTM   TSTM
TEMP............74     75     80     85     89     91
RH..............91     87     72     62     54     49
20 FT WIND......W 2    W 2    W 2    SW 3   SW 5   SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      10     15     15
TRANSPORT WINDS.SW 8   W 5    W 5    W 6    W 6    W 8

$$
FORECASTER...TIM BARRY
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120811.JACKS.01/TAE