FNUS75 KABQ 122137
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOLD UP...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
337 PM MDT SUN AUG 12 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE MAINLY DEVELOPING NORTH OF THE BURN
SITE THIS AFTERNOON AND STEERING FLOW IS GENERALLY TAKING THEM
AWAY FROM THE BURN AREA. A STRAY STORM MAY IMPACT THE SITE
THIS EVENING...BUT CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW THAT THIS WILL HAPPEN.
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE REST OF THE
AFTERNOON. TONIGHT...A COLD FRONT WILL BACK INTO THE
AREA...SWITCHING WINDS TO A NORTHEASTERLY DIRECTION. THE FRONT
WILL USHER IN ADDITIONAL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...INCREASING
HUMIDITIES BOTH TONIGHT AND DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY. THE
ADDITIONAL MOISTURE WILL ALSO INCREASE PRECIPITATION CHANCES FOR
MONDAY.

FOR TODAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                       AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 88-92.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 16-21 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                       18 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                       NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......14500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 10 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......VERY GOOD/134089 KNOT-FT AT 1700 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...BECOMING VERY GOOD/134089 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                       SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 55-59.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 52-57 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH BECOMING TERRAIN
                       DOMINATED AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                       WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   VENTILATION TREND...VERY GOOD/125000 KNOT-FT BY EARLY-EVENING
                       BECOMING POOR/2500 KNOT-FT BY LATE-EVENING.

FOR MONDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 81-85.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 25-30 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........NORTHEAST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                       SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                       AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......14000 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 8 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD/88000 KNOT-FT AT 1800 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/16444 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING GOOD/87901 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...34

$$

REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL GILLIO
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120812.HOLDU.01/ABQ