FNUS74 KLCH 121219
FWSLCH

SPOT FORECAST FOR BACKRIDGE 12...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
719 AM CDT SUN AUG 12 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS THROUGH LUFKIN THROUGH BATON ROUGE
THIS MORNING...WILL WASH OUT THIS AFTERNOON.

THE STALLED FRONT SEPARATES A STABLE AIR MASS ACROSS THE
PINEY HILLS-LAKES REGION FROM AN UNSTABLE AIR MASS ACROSS THE
COASTAL MARSHES.

RAIN CHANCES WILL BE 20 PERCENT. THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL BE
LOW...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-4800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 7 TO 10 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........40  40  40  43  45  47  50  50  50  47  45  43
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............81  82  85  87  88  89  90  90  90  90  89  88
RH..............83  79  73  68  63  61  59  59  59  59  59  61
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..1   2   3   3   5   5   6   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.        5   5           10  10  10  10  10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.1   2   2   3   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5
EYE LVL WND GST.        5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.3 3.6 3.8 4.0 4.3 4.5 4.8 4.5 4.3 4.0 3.8 3.5
MIX HGT (KM)....1.0 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.8   8   7   7   7   7   7   7   8   9   9   10
TRANS SPD (M/S).4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 12 TO 15 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-3400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

$$
FORECASTER...TRARES
REQUESTED BY...LARRY GATOR SMITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120812.BACKR.01/LCH