FNUS76 KLOX 121820
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LUPINE COMPLEX...USFS ANF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
1120 AM PDT SUN AUG 12 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1047 PDT ON AUGUST 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE OVER THE BURN AREA TODAY FROM A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM
CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES. WITH LIGHT SOUTHEAST FLOW
STREAMING OVER THE AREA...ANY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT
DEVELOP OVER THE FIRE WILL BE SLOW-MOVING WITH A POTENTIAL FOR
FLOODING. THE FLOW ALOFT WILL GRADUALLY VEER TO SOUTHWEST THROUGH
TUESDAY...AND BRING A SLOW COOLING AND DRYING TREND THROUGH
THURSDAY. A WARMING TREND IS POSSIBLE FOR LATE WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY...BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
    SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM MAY CONTAIN
    HEAVY RAINFALL...WITH FLOODING POSSIBLE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-84 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY WINDS 3 MPH OR LESS UNTIL
    1400 HOURS THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH
    WITH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS 6 MPH OR LESS. GUSTY
    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10000 FT AGL BY 1400
    HOURS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 3 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR. A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING. SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY
    CONTAIN HEAVY RAINFALL...WITH FLOODING POSSIBLE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-65 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 2100
    HOURS...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 MPH
    OR LESS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST TO NORTHWEST 6 MPH OR LESS...BECOMING
    LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER 0400 HOURS. GUSTY AND
    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
    THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO 500 FT AGL OR LESS BY HOURS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. AN ISOLATED
    SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE TO THE NORTH
    OF THE BURN AREA.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-80 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY WINDS 3 MPH OR LESS UNTIL
    1400 HOURS THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH
    WITH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND
    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
    THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL OR LESS LIFTING TO 8000 FT BY 1400
    HOURS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.


FORECASTER...HALL
REQUESTED BY...EDWARD HESBOL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120812.LUPIN.01/LOX

$$