FNUS75 KMSO 121531
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR CONDON MTN FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
931 AM MDT SUN AUG 12 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON AUGUST 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...UPPER RIDGE WILL MAINTAIN CONTROL OF THE FIRE
THROUGH TODAY. EXPECT SIMILAR CONDITIONS AS SATURDAY WITH
TERRAIN/DIURNALLY DRIVEN WINDS AND TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES WARMER.
AFTERNOON GUSTS TO 15 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH PEAK HEATING...BUT
GIVEN THE PARTIAL SHELTERING...THE FIRE ITSELF MAY NOT SEE THOSE
GUSTS. THERMAL BELTS WILL AGAIN BE AN ISSUE TONIGHT FOR POOR
RECOVERIES. MONDAY THE RIDGE WILL FLATTEN AND SOME STRONGER WEST
WINDS WILL MIX TO THE SURFACE IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
GUSTS TO 25 MPH ARE POSSIBLE LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING FROM
THE WEST-NORTHWEST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....BOTTOM 87-92...TOP 78-83.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1-3 MPH BECOMING WEST 5-8 MPH...GUSTS TO 15
                    MPH THIS AFTERNOON MAINLY IMPACTING THE TOP OF THE FIRE
                    ABOVE THE CANOPY.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50 BOTTOM...55-60 TOP.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT BOTTOM...44-49 PERCENT TOP.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE 2-4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....BOTTOM 87-92...TOP 78-83.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 3-6 MPH BECOMING WEST 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MEAD
REQUESTED BY...VICKI STEPHENS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120812.CONDO.01/MSO