FNUS73 KPAH 121405 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR FALLS...USFS SHAWNEE NF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 905 AM CDT SUN AUG 12 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0847 CDT ON AUGUST 12. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LESS HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL. THE LOW HUMIDITY AND FUEL MOISTURE WILL KEEP FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ELEVATED TODAY. THE HIGH WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE REGION TONIGHT AS THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM APPROACHES. THE PASSAGE OF THIS SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT AND MONDAY. DRY WEATHER WILL TAKE HOLD TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY BEFORE AN EVEN STRONGER SYSTEM BRINGS A BETTER CHANCE OF RAIN THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. MUCH COOLER WEATHER WILL ARRIVE LATE IN THE WEEK AS TEMPERATURES FALL BELOW NORMAL VALUES. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY...INCREASING CLOUDS THROUGHOUT THE DAY (40-50 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 60 TO 70 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........69 AT REQUEST...MAX 86. RH..................75 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 29 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE WINDS BECOMING SOUTH/SOUTHWEST AROUND 5-7 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT REQUEST...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL AT REQUEST...INCREASING TO 4500-6400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 8 MPH. TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............64 69 73 78 80 83 84 85 85 84 83 RH..............75 62 51 42 39 34 33 32 33 36 38 20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW SW S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 2.1 3.4 4.5 5.5 6.2 6.4 6.3 6.1 6.2 6.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW W W W W SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6 6 7 6 6 6 6 6 7 8 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 67. RH..................MAX 72 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 25 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............81 75 72 71 69 68 RH..............42 50 55 59 66 68 20 FT WIND......S 3 S 2 S 2 S 3 S 4 S 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....5700 1900 BLW100 100 200 100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 8 S 7 S 7 S 9 S 10 S 10 CWR.............0 0 0 30 30 30 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 4 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 88. RH..................MIN 46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. CWR.................40 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4300 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 3700-5000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 24 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............69 79 85 87 RH..............70 58 51 52 20 FT WIND......S 5G10 S 6G15 SW 7G15 SW 6G15 MIX HGT (FT)....200 1900 4300 4700 TRANSPORT WIND..S 12 S 17 S 24 S 22 CWR.............0 0 50 50 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH REQUESTED BY...TYSON TAYLOR TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120812.FALLS.01/PAH