FNUS74 KEPZ 131743
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR TWIN...GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1143 AM MDT MON AUG 13 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1155 MDT ON AUGUST 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
EXPECT SOME CUMULUS BUILD-UPS TO START DEVELOPING OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF HOURS AS DAYTIME HEATING RAMPS UP.  WITH MIXING...WINDS
WILL BECOME SOUTH-SOUTHEAST BUT REMAIN RELATIVELY LIGHT.  BY LATE
AFTERNOON...WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED IN THE
HIGHER TERRAIN.  A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE SKIRTING ACROSS
NORTHERN  NEW MEXICO WILL RESULT IN THE RISK OF SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
EXPECT OVERALL SIMILAR CONDITIONS ON TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). WIDELY
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........75 AT IGNITION...MAX 82.
RH..................53 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE BECOMING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 5
                    TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 12800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........115,200 KNOT-FEET (VERY GOOD)

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 56.
RH..................MAX 54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT
                    AND VARIABLE AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12600-13500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-2000 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 8 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE EAST 4
                    TO 5 KNOTS EARLY IN THE MORNING.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). WIDELY SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 79.
RH..................MIN 29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 4 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 11500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4 TO 5 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 5
                    TO 6 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION.........57,500 KNOT-FEET (FAIR)

$$

FORECASTER...HARDIMAN
REQUESTED BY...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120813.TWIN_.01/EPZ