FNUS75 KMSO 131658
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR CONDON MOUNTAIN FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1058 AM MDT MON AUG 13 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 MDT ON AUGUST 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...CONDITIONS TODAY WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TO SUNDAY WITH
HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS AND AFTERNOON/EVENING WINDS MIXING TO THE
FIRE. GIVEN THE FALLS CREEK RAWS IN ONLY ONE DRAINAGE SOUTH OF THE
FIRE AND THEY DID RECEIVE GUSTS TO 18 MPH EXPECT YOUR BURN OUT
OPERATION TO ALSO SEE THESE GUSTS. TIMING WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TO
SUNDAY WITH HIGHEST GUSTS BETWEEN 1530 AND 2030 MDT. TABULAR
FORECAST BELOW SHOWS THIS TREND NICELY AND IS FOR AN ELEVATION OF
5600 FEET. TONIGHT THERMAL BELTS WILL CONTINUE BUT THE LAST TWO
MORNINGS RIGHT AFTER SUNRISE HUMIDITIES HAVE BEEN
INCREASING/PEAKING AROUND 50 PERCENT. THAT BEING SAID MAJORITY OF
THE NIGHT WILL SEE POOR RECOVERIES AND ACTIVE FIRE BEHAVIOR.
TUESDAY WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER BUT HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN
LOW AND WINDS WILL BE MORE IMPRESSIVE WITH GUSTS CLOSER TO 25 MPH
BUT CONTINUE FROM THE WEST NORTHWEST DIRECTION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92 BOTTOM...82-87 TOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18 PERCENT BOTTOM...20-25 PERCENT TOP.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE 2-5 MPH BECOMING WEST 6-9 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 MPH.

TIME (MDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P
SKY (%).........10  28  28  28  28  28  28  27  27  27  27  27
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............73  77  79  80  81  81  80  79  76  72  68  63
RH..............33  26  21  19  18  18  19  20  23  28  34  39
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..2   5   5   5   7   7   7   7   7   7   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.5   10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
MAX HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-9 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING VARIABLE 3-6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CB DEVELOPMENT LATE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88 BOTTOM...77-82 TOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18 PERCENT BOTTOM...20-25 PERCENT TOP.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 4-8 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING WEST
                    11-13 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MEAD
REQUESTED BY...VICKI STEPHENS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120813.CONDO.02/MSO