FNUS74 KEPZ 141848
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR PENA...LNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1248 PM MDT TUE AUG 14 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1235 MDT ON AUGUST 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGUN TO DEVELOP OVER THE SACRAMENTOS
BUT THEY WILL TEND TO FAVOR THE EAST-FACING SLOPES EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON.  STILL HAVE ABOUT A 40% CHANCE OF SEEING A WETTING RAIN
AT THE FIRE SITE LATER TODAY.  OTHERWISE...EXPECT A NEAR REPEAT
OF TODAYS WEATHER TOMORROW...WITH BETTER CHANCES FOR MORE WIDELY
SPREAD THUNDERSTORMS LATER IN THE WEEK.'

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 8500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........68,000 KNOT-FEET (GOOD)


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
MAX HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8300-8600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 4 KNOTS.


.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX AROUND 10,000 FEET AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 7 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........70,000 KNOT-FEET (GOOD)

$$

FORECASTER...HARDIMAN
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120814.PENA_.01/EPZ