FNUS76 KMFR 150109
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR LAVA...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
609 PM PDT TUE AUG 14 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1736 PDT ON AUGUST 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...VERY LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS
OVER THE INCIDENT WITH MOSTLY CLEAR, DRY, AND HOT WEATHER
CONTINUING. HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT REMAINS OVER THE AREA WITH A
SURFACE THERMAL TROUGH TO THE WEST. THE THERMAL TROUGH WILL MOVE A
LITTLE FURTHER INLAND WEDNESDAY WHICH WILL INDUCE A LITTE MORE
NORTHERLY COMPONENT TO THE WIND OVER THE INCIDENT IN THE
AFTERNOON. THIS MAY ALSO KNOCK A DEGREE OR TWO OFF OUR HIGH
TEMPERATURES, BUT THIS WILL HARDLY BE NOTICEABLE. THERE WILL BE A
BIT MORE MOISTURE AND SOME WARMING IN THE MID LEVELS WEDNESDAY
WHICH WILL LOWER THE HAINES TO 4 AND REDUCE INSTABILITY A LITTLE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........48-50 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST NORTHWEST 6-9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH
                    THROUGH 8 PM THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10,000 FEET AGL THIS EVENING THEN LOWERING TO
                    500 FEET AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH THIS EVENING THEN BECOMING
                    LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 8-11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH THIS
                    EVENING THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....94-97.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-11 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH NOON THEN BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 4-6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH NOON THEN BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 7-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...WRIGHT
REQUESTED BY...TERI CAIRNS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120814.LAVA_.01/MFR