FNUS75 KMSO 141241
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR CONDON MOUNTAIN FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
641 AM MDT TUE AUG 14 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0555 MDT ON AUGUST 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...CONDITIONS WILL BE SIMILAR TODAY AS YESTERDAY...BUT
WIND WILL BE A LITTLE STRONGER THIS AFTERNOON. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS
WILL INCREASE AS WE APPROACH 2400 MDT AT THE FIRE WITH RAIN LIKELY
THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. CONFIDENCE FOR A WETTING RAIN IS
NOT HIGH AT THIS TIME. THE WIND SHIFT TO EASTERLY IS EXPECTED
BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 0300 MDT TONIGHT. MODELS ARE SHOWING THE TOP
OF THE FIRE TO HAVE THE BEST CHANCE FOR THESE EAST WINDS BUT IT WILL
BE MUCH MORE DIFFICULT FOR THEM TO REACH THE BOTTOM. WEDNESDAY
WILL HAVE A NOTICEABLE COOL DOWN WITH HIGH HUMIDITY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89 BOTTOM...74-79 TOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19 PERCENT BOTTOM...20-25 PERCENT TOP.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE WINDS 5-6 MPH BECOMING WEST 11-13
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5-14 MPH AND GUSTY BECOMING
                    EAST 5-9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68 BOTTOM...55-60 TOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT BOTTOM...40-45 PERCENT TOP.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7-8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...KITSMILLER
REQUESTED BY...VICKI STEPHENS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120814.CONDO.01/MSO