FNUS74 KOUN 141304
FWSOUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR CONCHO-BIA...BIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
804 AM CDT TUE AUG 14 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0754 CDT ON AUGUST 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A LIGHT RAIN SHOWER MAY OCCUR THIS MORNING WITH A LOW CHANCE OF
AN LATE AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM. OTHERWISE MOSTLY CLOUDY THIS MORNING
WITH SOME INCREASE IN SUNSHINE THIS AFTERNOON. IT WILL BE COOLER
TODAY AS WELL WITH A BREEZY EAST TO SOUTHEAST WIND.

HOT TEMPERATURES...BREEZY WINDS... AND DRY VEGETATION WILL COMBINE
TO INCREASE THE WILDFIRE POTENTIAL TO VERY HIGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER... HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST ABOVE
20 PERCENT SO SHOULD NOT QUITE REACH CRITICAL LEVELS. RAIN WILL
REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH THE BEST CHANCE THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71 AT REQUEST...MAX 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 34 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS EAST AT 9 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE INCREASING
                    TO 5800-7200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 17 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............67     75     82     86     88     87
RH..............65     55     43     37     34     34
20 FT WIND......E 9    E 12   SE 16  SE 17  SE 16  SE 13
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     25     30     25     20
MIX HGT (FT)....1200   3200   5300   6800   7200   5800
MIX HGT (M).....370    980    1620   2070   2190   1770
TRANSPORT WIND..E 12   E 16   E 23   SE 24  S 18   SE 17
TRAN WIND (M/S).E 5    E 7    E 10   SE 11  S 8    SE 8

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 67.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 61 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1400 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 98.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 28 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 15 TO 20
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6200-8100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 15
                    TO 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND
70. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 11 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. EAST
WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...CURL
REQUESTED BY...NATHAN LILLIE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120814.CONCH.01/OUN