FNUS75 KTWC 141948
FWSTWC

SPOT FORECAST FOR TRAIL...SAN CARLOS AGENCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
1248 PM MST TUE AUG 14 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 MST ON AUGUST 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...INCREASED MOISTURE AND GRADUALLY COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED AT THE FIRE SITE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. FOR THIS AFTERNOON...
SCATTERED STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN NEAR
THE FIRE SITE AND PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS. THESE
STORMS WILL BE SLOW MOVING. A SIMILAR PATTERN IS EXPECTED THE NEXT FEW
DAYS WITH MAINLY SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88 TO 93 DEGS.
MIN HUMIDITY........16 TO 21 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 4 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS IN/NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
LAL.................4.
CHANCE OF RAIN......30 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....64 TO 69 DEGS.
MAX HUMIDITY........47 TO 52 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    POSSIBLE IN/NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
LAL.................3.
CHANCE OF RAIN......30 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87 TO 92 DEGS.
MIN HUMIDITY........19 TO 24 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS IN/NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
LAL.................4.
CHANCE OF RAIN......40 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...FIRE WEATHER FORECASTER
REQUESTED BY...DUANE CHAPMAN AFMO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120814.TRAIL.01/TWC