FNUS75 KABQ 151521
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR CERRO DE A...TAOS BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
921 AM MDT WED AUG 15 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
TODAY WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY...ALTHOUGH PERHAPS A TAD
DRIER. A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT IS STILL FORECAST MOVE INTO THE AREA
THURSDAY...BRINGING SOUTHEAST WINDS TO CERRO DE A DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. CHANCES FOR WETTING RAINS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE
THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH THE FRONT PROVIDING UPSLOPE ON THE WEST
SIDE OF THE VALLEY AND EASTERN SLOPES OF THE SAN JUANS. MAX TEMPS
WILL TREND DOWN THURSDAY AND MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL TREND
UP AS A RESULT OF MOISTURE MOVING IN BEHIND THE FRONT.

FOR TODAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY CLEAR...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
                       AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 75-79.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 30-35 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 8 MPH...
                       BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH AFTERNOON.
                       GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......11000 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......WEST TO NORTHWEST 7 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD/70000 KNOT-FT AT 1200 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...FAIR/57191 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING FAIR/43946 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 50-54.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 70-75 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   VENTILATION TREND...FAIR/40000 KNOT-FT BY EARLY-EVENING BECOMING
                       POOR/1000 KNOT-FT BY LATE-EVENING.

FOR THURSDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY...BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY
                       AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......50 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 73-76.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 33-38 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                       SOUTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                       GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......12500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 15 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR/51000 KNOT-FT AT 1800 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/37648 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING FAIR/40074 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...11

$$

REQUESTED BY...ROBERT J  MONTOYA
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120815.CERRO.01/ABQ