FNUS76 KMFR 160321
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUTTE...OIIMT2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
821 PM PDT WED AUG 15 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1945 PDT ON AUGUST 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...
...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AND
THURSDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER RIDGE AND SURFACE THERMAL TROUGH WILL
REMAIN OVER THE INCIDENT THROUGH FRIDAY RESULTING IN CONTINUED
VERY HOT AND DRY WEATHER, WITH FRIDAY LIKELY THE HOTTEST OF
PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE MAINLY DIURNALLY DRIVEN THROUGH FRIDAY AND
NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG. HOWEVER, MID LEVEL MOISTURE IS EXPECTED
TO INCREASE THURSDAY AND EVEN MORE SO FRIDAY, WHICH WILL BRING
BACK THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS. AT THIS TIME, FRIDAY LOOKS LIKE
THE MOST ACTIVE DAY AND A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR LIGHTNING IS IN
EFFECT STARTING FRIDAY. UNFORTUNATELY, THE STORMS WILL PROBABLY BE
DRY AND MAY START MORE FIRES IN THE AREA. TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO COOL DOWN A BIT OVER THE WEEKEND BUT WILL REMAIN
NORMAL OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY
                    AFTER NOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-18 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 9000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5-10 MPH.
LAL.................2.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT, BECOMING UPSLOPE 1-3 MPH AFTER 10 AM,
                    THEN BECOMING WEST 4-8 MPH AFTER 2 PM.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT, BECOMING UPSLOPE 1-3 MPH AFTER 10 AM,
                    THEN BECOMING WEST 2-4 MPH AFTER 2 PM.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDER-
                    STORM IN THE EVENING, THEN MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-54.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-64 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5-10 MPH IN THE EVENING, THEN LIGHT AND
                    VARIABLE.
LAL.................2.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 4-8 MPH IN THE EVENING, THEN DOWNSLOPE
                    1-3 MPH OVERNIGHT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST 2-4 MPH IN THE EVENING, THEN LIGHT AND
                    VARIABLE OVERNIGHT.

$$
FORECASTER...WRIGHT
REQUESTED BY...FBAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120815.BUTTE.01/MFR