FNUS76 KMFR 160232
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR DILLON...USFS KNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
732 PM PDT WED AUG 15 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1850 PDT ON AUGUST 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER RIDGE AND SURFACE THERMAL TROUGH WILL
REMAIN OVER THE INCIDENT THROUGH FRIDAY RESULTING IN CONTINUED
VERY HOT AND DRY WEATHER, WITH FRIDAY LIKELY THE HOTTEST OF
PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE MAINLY DIURNALLY DRIVEN THROUGH FRIDAY AND
NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG. HOWEVER, MID LEVEL MOISTURE IS EXPECTED
TO INCREASE THURSDAY AND EVEN MORE SO FRIDAY, WHICH WILL BRING
BACK THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS. AT THIS TIME, FRIDAY LOOKS LIKE
THE MOST ACTIVE DAY AND A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR LIGHTNING IS IN
EFFECT STARTING FRIDAY. UNFORTUNATELY, THE STORMS WILL PROBABLY BE
DRY AND MAY START MORE FIRES IN THE AREA. TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO COOL DOWN A BIT OVER THE WEEKEND BUT WILL REMAIN
NORMAL OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF AN AFTERNOON OR EVENING THUNDERSTORM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....99-102.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-27%.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING UPSLOPE 1-2 MPH AFTER 10
                    AM THEN NORTHWEST 2-3 MPH AFTER 2 PM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT AND VARIABLE THEN SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-67.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-74%.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE 0-2 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....101-104.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-26%.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING UPSLOPE 1-2 MPH AFTER 10
                    AM THEN NORTHWEST 2-3 MPH AFTER 2 PM.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT AND VARIABLE THEN SOUTHWEST 3-6 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.

$$
FORECASTER...WRIGHT
REQUESTED BY...RICHARD GOODWIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120815.DILLO.02/MFR