FNUS76 KMFR 160154
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR LAVA...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
654 PM PDT WED AUG 15 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1625 PDT ON AUGUST 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE INCIDENT AND A
THERMAL TROUGH WILL REMAIN TO THE WEST THROUGH FRIDAY WHICH WILL
MEAN CONTINUED VERY HOT AND DRY WEATHER, WITH FRIDAY LIKELY THE
HOTTEST OF PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE MAINLY DIURNALLY DRIVEN THROUGH
FRIDAY AND NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG. HOWEVER, MID LEVEL MOISTURE IS
EXPECTED TO INCREASE THURSDAY AND EVEN MORE SO FRIDAY, WHICH WILL
BRING BACK THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS. AT THIS TIME, FRIDAY
LOOKS LIKE THE MOST ACTIVE DAY AND A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR
LIGHTNING IS IN EFFECT STARTING FRIDAY. UNFORTUNATELY, THE STORMS
WILL PROBABLY BE DRY AND MAY START MORE FIRES IN THE AREA.
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO COOL DOWN A BIT OVER THE WEEKEND
BUT WILL REMAIN NORMAL OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....92-95.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-12%.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 1-3 MPH BY 1000 HRS,
                    THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST 2-4 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 7
                    MPH AFTER 1400 HRS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 2-4 MPH BY 1000 HRS,
                    THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST 4-6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10
                    MPH AFTER 1400 HRS.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-51.
MAX HUMIDITY........63-66 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
CWR.................10 PERCENT IN THE EVENING, 0 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
LAL.................2.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....94-97.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-10%.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 1-3 MPH BY 1100 HRS,
                    THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST 2-4 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 7
                    MPH AFTER 1500 HRS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 2-4 MPH BY 1100 HRS,
                    THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST 4-6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10
                    MPH AFTER 1500 HRS.

$$
FORECASTER...WRIGHT
REQUESTED BY...TERI CAIRNS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120815.LAVA_.01/MFR