FNUS76 KPQR 160213 FWSPQR SPOT FORECAST FOR BOBBY LAKE...USFS WNF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR 713 PM PDT WED AUG 15 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1837 PDT ON AUGUST 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT FRIDAY... .BROADCAST DISCUSSION...A THERMAL TROUGH IS STRENGTHENING OVER SOUTHWEST OREGON TONIGHT AND WILL MOVE NORTH THROUGH FRIDAY. THIS BRINGS SIGNIFICANT LOW LEVEL INSTABILITY ON TOP OF VERY LOW HUMIDITY. DRY AND BREEZY AS WELL ALONG THE CASCADE UPPER SLOPES MAINLY BETWEEN MT. JEFFERSON AND MT. ADAMS PLUS ALONG THE NORTH OREGON COAST AND WILLAPA HILLS RIDGES. THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE BEGINNING LATE FRIDAY WITH BETTER CHANCE ON SATURDAY. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER RIDGE BECOMES CENTERED OVER THE PACNW ALONG WITH THE BUILDING THERMAL TROUGH. WITH THIS...EXPECT A RETURN TO HOT DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WITH HIGH LIKELIHOOD FOR HIGH HAINES 5 THIS EVENING WITH MID HAINES OF 6 AND SUB 25 PERCENT RH ACROSS 603...606...608 AND THE SOUTHERN PART OF OR604. EXPECT MID-LEVEL HAINES 6 CONDITIONS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY FOR ALL AREAS. THERE WILL BE PERIODS WHERE HIGH HAINES WILL BE A 5 BUT DRIVEN BY THE STABILITY COMPONENT OF 3. ADDITIONALLY...HUMIDITY WILL LIKELY REMAIN BELOW 25 PERCENT AWAY FROM THE COASTAL ZONES DURING THE AFTERNOONS AND EVENINGS. FINALLY...THE EVENTUAL RESTING POSITION OF THE THERMAL TROUGH MAY BRING PERIODS OF GUSTY WINDS TO THE HIGHER CASCADE WEST SLOPES AND PORTIONS OF THE NORTH OREGON COAST RANGE AND WASHINGTON WILLAPA HILLS. SPEEDS ARE STILL SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN AND WILL BE BASED ON WHETHER THE TROUGH EXTENDS ALONG THE COAST OR SETS UP CLOSER TO THE CASCADES. MODELS NOW TRENDING TO PUSH THE OFFSHORE UPPER LOW A BIT FURTHER WEST BUT COULD SEE THUNDER POTENTIAL AS EARLY AS FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE CENTRAL CASCADES. STILL HAVE REASONABLE CONFIDENCE FOR A SOLID RIDGE BREAKDOWN OCCURRING SATURDAY WITH THUNDER POSSIBLE NEARLY EVERYWHERE ACROSS THE DISTRICT PROVIDING POTENTIAL FOR IGNITIONS. AMOUNT OVERY MUCH IN QUESTION. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. CWR (%).............0 PERCENT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59. MAX HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 4 TO 6 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. TIME (PDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........0 0 0 0 0 0 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............78 68 65 61 60 59 RH..............36 45 46 49 53 55 20 FT WIND......NE 8 NE 8 NE 6 E 5 E 5 E 5 MAX GUST.....10 10 10 8 8 8 EYE LEVEL WIND..N 6 N 5 N 5 E 4 E 4 E 3 MAX GUST.....8 7 7 5 5 4 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. CWR (%).............0 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89. MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (PDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........0 0 0 0 0 0 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............62 69 80 87 88 88 RH..............56 45 34 29 25 25 20 FT WIND......E 5 E 5 E 6 W 8 W 8 W 9 MAX GUST.....10 10 10 10 12 12 EYE LEVEL WIND..E 4 E 5 E 5 W 6 W 6 W 6 MAX GUST.....6 8 8 8 8 8 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 $$ FORECASTER...COOK REQUESTED BY...ERIC JOHNSON REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120815.BOBBY.01/PQR