FNUS72 KTAE 151333 AAA
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR SMR BURN UNIT 301...USFWS...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
819 AM EDT WED AUG 15 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON AUGUST 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835.

.DISCUSSION...MOIST SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL KEEP RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COAST. DISPERSIONS
WILL REMAIN RATHER LOW THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH
FLORIDA...INCLUDING THE BURN LOCATION AS CEILINGS AROUND 3000-5000 FT
FILL IN WITH AFTERNOON HEATING AND CONVECTION. EVEN WITH LOW
DISPERSIONS...TRANSPORT WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 10
MPH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-40 PERCENT CLOUD COVER) BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE AFTERNOON. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE DAY...INCREASING TO A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........83 AT IGNITION...MAX 92.
RH..................72 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH AT IGNITION...INCREASING
                    TO  5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...DEEPENING TO AROUND 3500 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION..........MAX 30.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........49     56     64     64
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS
TEMP............83     87     88     91
RH..............72     63     59     54
20 FT WIND......W 1    W 2    SW 5   SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 75.
RH..................MAX 90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......COLLAPSING TO AROUND 500 FT AGL SHORTLY AFTER
                    SUNSET.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION..........MIN 7.
LVORI...............MAX 5.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........59     54     54     46     37     37
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTMS  TSTMS  RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............90     85     82     80     78     78
RH..............56     68     76     81     84     85
20 FT WIND......SW 5   SW 4   SW 2   W 2    W 2    W 1
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 91.
RH..................MIN 55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DEEPENING TO AROUND 3500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION..........MAX 39.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........44     51     51     54     56     56
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS
TEMP............77     76     83     87     87     90
RH..............87     90     74     66     62     57
20 FT WIND......W 1    W 2    W 3    W 4    SW 5   SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10

$$

FORECASTER...DONAL HARRIGAN
REQUESTED BY...GREG TITUS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120815.SMRBU.01/TAE