FNUS74 KFWD 161600 FWSFWD SPOT FORECAST FOR LOMETA RANCH FIRE...LOWER COLORADO RIVER AUTHORITY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 958 AM CDT THU AUG 16 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0921 CDT ON AUGUST 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE BETWEEN 10 AND 20 MPH ALONG WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS TODAY IN RESPONSE TO SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER WEST TEXAS AND AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE WIND WILL DECREASE AFTER SUNSET AND REMAIN FROM THE SOUTH. THE COLD FRONT SHOULD STALL NORTH OF LAMPASAS COUNTY ON FRIDAY BUT WILL BRING INCREASED CLOUD COVER...LOWER AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY EASE THROUGH THE COUNTY FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AND BRING EVEN BETTER RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 99. MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9400-10400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........54 51 47 47 46 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE TEMP............77 84 92 97 98 RH..............69 53 37 32 30 20 FT WIND......S 9 S 10 S 10 S 10 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 20 20 20 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 7 S 7 S 7 S 7 S 7 EYE LVL WND GST.15 20 20 20 20 CWR.............20 20 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 0100...THEN 2. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7700-8600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 24 MPH DECREASING TO 12 TO 14 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........45 46 49 51 54 58 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............98 93 86 81 78 76 RH..............30 36 48 58 69 74 20 FT WIND......S 10 S 10 S 9 S 7 S 6 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 15 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 7 S 7 S 7 S 5 S 4 S 4 EYE LVL WND GST.20 20 15 10 10 CWR.............10 10 10 10 20 20 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 3 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95. MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................20 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7900-8400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 14 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........61 63 64 64 63 61 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............73 75 81 88 93 94 RH..............84 79 60 45 37 36 20 FT WIND......S 4 S 4 S 3 S 3 S 4 SE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 3 S 3 S 2 S 2 S 3 SE 4 EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 5 5 CWR.............20 20 20 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 4 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...FANO REQUESTED BY...SUSANA THORNE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120816.LOMET.01/FWD