FNUS74 KFWD 162219
FWSFWD

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOMETA RANCH FIRE...TEXAS FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
519 PM CDT THU AUG 16 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1640 CDT ON AUGUST 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS BETWEEN 5 TO 10 MPH WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE NIGHT. OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNSET. AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY LYING JUST SOUTH OF
THE I-20 CORRIDOR WILL LIKELY REMAIN WELL NORTH OF THE LOMETA
RANCH FIRE...BUT WILL NEED TO MONITOR ITS LOCATION THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS IN CASE IT GETS A PUSH SECONDARY PUSH SOUTH. THIS
DOES NOT SEEM LIKELY BUT CANNOT BE RULED OUT. ADDITIONAL RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CAN BE EXPECTED TOMORROW WITH THE BEST
POTENTIAL FOR STORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS AND NORTH OF THE
FIRE. THE WINDS TOMORROW WILL VARY BETWEEN SOUTH-SOUTHWEST TO
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST BETWEEN 5 TO 10 MPH.

HUMIDITY VALUES ARE CURRENTLY IN THE 15 TO 20 PERCENT RANGE AND
WILL REMAIN THERE THROUGH SUNSET. RH VALUES WILL THEN RISE TO
AROUND 50 PERCENT BY MIDNIGHT AND PEAK AROUND 75 PERCENT BY
SUNRISE. RH VALUES FRIDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE BETWEEN 30 TO 35
PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........43     50     51     52     54     58
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............99     93     85     81     78     76
RH..............19     24     36     47     58     69
20 FT WIND......S 8    SE 8   SE 6   S 7    S 7    S 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 6    SE 6   SE 4   S 5    S 5    S 5
EYE LVL WND GST.10     10     10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX.....66      6      6      3      3
LIGHTNING........11      1      1      1      1

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........61     63     63     62     61     60
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............74     75     82     89     94     95
RH..............79     76     58     44     36     34
20 FT WIND......S 5    S 4    S 3    S 3    S 4    SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      5      5      5
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 4    S 3    S 2    S 2    S 3    SE 4
EYE LVL WND GST.       5      5      5      5
HAINES INDEX....3      4      4      4      4      4
LIGHTNING.......1      1      2      2      2      2

$$
FORECASTER...JLDUNN
REQUESTED BY...MARY LEATHERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120816.LOMET.03/FWD