FNUS72 KMFL 152012
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR C-13...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
412 PM EDT WED AUG 15 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON AUGUST 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE
AREA OF INTEREST THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS INTO THE EVENING
PERIOD THURSDAY BEFORE TRENDING DOWN THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THE BEST TIMING OF THIS ACTIVITY TO
BEGIN WILL BE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS THURSDAY. WINDS WILL
REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON PERIOD WITH DISPERSIONS IN THE POOR TO FAIR
RANGE. ANOTHER FORECAST FOR THIS AREA WILL BE ISSUED WITH THE
LATEST FORECAST PACKAGE TONIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400-5000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 1 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 3
                    TO 5 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 27 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 18 LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
20 FT WIND......E 1    S 2    W 4    W 4    SW 4   SW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      10     10     5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....1800   3400   5000   5000   4400   2300
MIXNG WIND......E 1    SW 5   W 5    W 5    SW 3   SW 5
DISPERSION IDX..6      26     28     28     18     2
LVORI...........4      2      1      1      2      6
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     30     30     30     20

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 71.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 1 MPH LATE IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 0
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....1.
LVORI...............8.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 51 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400-5000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 0 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST LATE IN THE MORNING SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....1 INCREASING TO 24 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...GIBBS
REQUESTED BY...GREG SUSZEK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120816.C13__.01/MFL