FNUS72 KMFL 160917
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR C-13...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
517 AM EDT THU AUG 16 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON AUGUST 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL LOCATED ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY
RESULTING IN A LIGHT WIND FLOW RESULTING IN A SEA BREEZE
DEVELOPING ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST LATE THIS MORNING AND
REACHING THE FIRE SITE BY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE SEA BREEZE
BOUNDARY AND MOVEMENT WILL BE SLOW AND ERRATIC SO THERE COULD BE
SOME THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY NEAR THE FIRE SITE FROM LATE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS. DUE TO THE LIGHT WIND TURNING TO
THE SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH THIS AFTERNOON, AFTERNOON DISPERSION
WILL REMAIN POOR TO FAIR.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 51 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....22.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........28     55     55     55     55     50
WEATHER COV.....       SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........       SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD
TEMP............89     94     94     92     89     79
RH..............64     54     52     53     60     84
20 FT WIND......SE 3   S 3    SW 4   SW 4   SW 4   SW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10     10     10     5
MIX HGT (FT)....2700   5000   5000   5000   4500   2400
MIXNG WIND......SE 6   S 7    SW 8   SW 8   SW 8   SW 5
DISPERSION IDX..18     20     25     25     24     2
LVORI...........3      2      2      2      2      7
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     40     40     40     40     20
LAL.............1      3      3      3      3      2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 97 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 1 MPH LATE IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 2
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............8.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 51 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....14 INCREASING TO 50.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BRABANDER
REQUESTED BY...GREG SUSZEK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120816.C13__.01/MFL