FNUS74 KTSA 161838 FWSTSA FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR CALUMET...BIA EOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 138 PM CDT THU AUG 16 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1326 CDT ON AUGUST 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... EXPECT THE WIND TO GRADUALLY SHIFT AROUND TO THE WEST AND THEN NORTH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. A COLD FRONT IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHWARD INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. AT 130PM...THE FRONT HAD PUSHED PAST FORAKER AND PEARSONIA...AND WAS ABOUT ON BURBANK...BUT A LITTLE NORTH OF PAWHUSKA. THESE LOCATIONS ARE BASED ON OKLAHOMA MESONET DATA AND DOPPLER DATA...SO COULD BE OFF A FEW MILES. THE FORECASTS BELOW INDICATE THE WIND CHANGES EXPECTED. THESE WIND CHANGES COULD VARY BY AND HOUR OR SO...DEPENDING ON VARIATIONS IN TERRAIN AND SURFACE HEATING. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97. MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......7300-8400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM TEMP............92 94 96 97 97 DEWPT...........68 67 65 63 64 RH..............46 41 36 34 34 20FT WIND DIR...W NW N N N 20FT SPD (MPH)..6 5 5 5 6 20FT GUST(MPH)..10 10 10 10 15 CLOUDS (%)......57 59 60 63 65 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW MIXHGT/100(FT)..073 080 084 083 077 TR WIND DIR.....W NW NW NW N TR WIND SPD(MPH)12 10 9 8 8 STABILITY.......B B B B C 1700FT MIX T (F)97 99 100 101 100 VENT/1000(M 3/S)012 011 010 009 008 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63. MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM TEMP............95 93 88 84 80 76 73 72 70 69 67 66 DEWPT...........64 65 65 64 64 64 63 63 62 61 60 59 RH..............37 40 46 52 59 66 71 74 74 76 77 78 20FT WIND DIR...N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE 20FT SPD (MPH)..6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 20FT GUST(MPH)..15 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 CLOUDS (%)......68 71 72 72 72 73 73 74 74 75 75 76 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW MIXHGT/100(FT)..062 042 020 001 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 TR WIND DIR.....N NE E E E E E E NE NE NE NE TR WIND SPD(MPH)7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 9 STABILITY.......C F F F F F F F F F F F 1700FT MIX T (F)99 95 89 95 94 93 92 90 89 87 86 85 VENT/1000(M 3/S)006 004 002 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86. MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5400-6400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 13 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM TEMP............64 63 66 70 73 77 80 82 84 85 85 85 DEWPT...........57 56 56 56 56 56 56 56 56 55 55 55 RH..............79 78 72 63 55 49 44 41 38 37 36 35 20FT WIND DIR...NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE 20FT SPD (MPH)..6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 20FT GUST(MPH)..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 10 10 10 CLOUDS (%)......76 77 72 68 63 58 54 49 50 51 52 53 WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW MIXHGT/100(FT)..000 000 010 021 032 042 051 058 062 064 062 054 TR WIND DIR.....NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N NE TR WIND SPD(MPH)9 10 10 12 13 13 13 12 10 9 8 8 STABILITY.......F F C C C B B B B B B C 1700FT MIX T (F)84 84 83 70 73 77 80 82 84 85 85 85 VENT/1000(M 3/S)000 000 001 003 006 007 009 009 008 008 007 006 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .SUNDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. .MONDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. $$ FORECASTER...AMBURN REQUESTED BY...TERRY GALLAGHER SITL TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120816.CALUM.01/TSA