FNUS74 KTSA 162247 FWSTSA FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR HONEY SPRINGS FIRE...BIA EOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 547 PM CDT THU AUG 16 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1734 CDT ON AUGUST 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... OUTFLOWS FRM THUNDERSTORMS OVER TULSA AND WAGONER COUNTIES HEADED SOUTH AND WILL MAKE WIND DIRECTION GREATLY VARIABLE NEAR THE FIRE SITE BETWEEN 630-830 PM. TO COMPOUND THE SITUATION THE SYNOPTIC FRONT IS IN THE SAME VICINITY. IN GENERAL IT LOOKS LIKE THE WIND WILL SHIFT FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST BETWEEN 7 AND 8 PM. AS IS ALWAYS THE CASE THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW CAN BE RATHER GUSTY...MAYBE UP T0 40 MPH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......5500-7400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 7 TO 8 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM TEMP............98 95 89 84 81 79 77 76 75 73 72 71 DEWPT...........66 68 68 68 68 68 68 68 68 68 68 67 RH..............36 42 49 59 65 69 74 77 80 83 86 89 20FT WIND DIR...SW W N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N 20FT SPD (MPH)..5 5 4 3 3 2 2 2 3 4 5 5 20FT GUST(MPH)..10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 CLOUDS (%)......60 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 76 77 77 77 WEATHER COV.....LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW MIXHGT/100(FT)..062 074 055 038 024 015 010 007 005 004 004 002 TR WIND DIR.....SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W NW NW N TR WIND SPD(MPH)8 8 13 16 18 17 14 10 8 7 7 7 STABILITY.......C F F F F F F F F F F F 1700FT MIX T (F)98 95 89 84 81 96 94 92 91 90 88 88 VENT/1000(M 3/S)007 008 010 008 006 003 002 001 001 000 000 000 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5400-7300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 12 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM TEMP............70 69 71 75 79 82 85 87 89 90 90 90 DEWPT...........67 67 67 66 66 65 64 64 63 63 63 62 RH..............93 94 86 74 64 56 50 46 43 41 40 39 20FT WIND DIR...N N N N N N N N N N NE NE 20FT SPD (MPH)..6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 20FT GUST(MPH)..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 CLOUDS (%)......78 78 76 74 71 69 67 65 64 64 63 62 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW MIXHGT/100(FT)..000 002 006 014 024 039 054 066 071 073 071 072 TR WIND DIR.....N N N N N N N N N N N N TR WIND SPD(MPH)9 10 10 12 12 10 9 8 8 8 8 7 STABILITY.......F F C C C B B B B B B C 1700FT MIX T (F)88 87 87 87 79 82 85 87 89 90 90 90 VENT/1000(M 3/S)000 000 001 002 004 005 007 007 008 008 008 007 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. .MONDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. $$ FORECASTER...WILEY REQUESTED BY...TERRY GALLAGHER SITL TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120816.HONEY.01/TSA