FNUS76 KMFR 171153
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR NUGGET BUTTE...ODF MEDFORD UNIT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
453 AM PDT FRI AUG 17 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0423 PDT ON AUGUST 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM
PDT SATURDAY...

.DISCUSSION...WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL BE LIGHT DOWNSLOPE/VALLEY
CANYON EARLY THIS MORNING. THEN BECOMING UPVALLEY AFTER 11 AM INTO
THE AFTERNOON. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE IN THE EVENT AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPS OR MOVES NEAR AND OVER THE BURN AREA IN WHICH CASE
YOU COULD HAVE GUSTY WINDS WITH ERRATIC WIND DIRECTION. ANOTHER HOT DAY
IS EXPECTED WITH TEMPERATURES AND MINIMUM HUMIDITIES SIMILAR
TO THURSDAY. HOWEVER, INCREASING MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL LEAD TO
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS NEAR OR OVER THE BURN AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TONIGHT. WINDS
WILL BECOME DOWNSLOPE TONIGHT AND NORTHWEST SATURDAY BUT MAY BE GUSTY
AND ERRATIC NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM
                    AFTER 4 PM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....99-101.
MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BECOMING UP SLOPE/CANYON 1-3 MPH WITH SOME WEST
                    WIND 4-7 MPH SPILLING OVER THE SADDLE AT THE TOP
                    AFTER 11 AM.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 IN THE MORNING. 2 IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........BECOMING UP SLOPE/CANYON 2-4 MPH WITH SOME WEST
                    WIND 5-9 MPH SPILLING OVER THE SADDLE AT THE TOP
                    AFTER 11 AM.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-65.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VARIABLE 0-2 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 1-3 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 5 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MID
                    MORNING. THEN PARTLY CLOUDY WITH STORMS MOVING
                    EAST OF THE BURN AREA.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....95-97.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VARIABLE 0-2 MPH...EXCEPT GUSTY AND ERRATIC NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................13 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 IN THE MORNING. 1 IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 1-3 MPH...EXCEPT GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.

$$
FORECASTER...PETRUCELLI
REQUESTED BY...AMANDA RHEIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120817.NUGGE.01/MFR