FNUS72 KMLB 171013
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR JDSP C6 C9 C10 A1 A2...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
613 AM EDT FRI AUG 17 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON AUGUST 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A VERY MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED
MAINLY AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND LIGHTNING STORMS NEAR THE BURN AREA
...WITH A SMALL CHANCE FOR A LATE MORNING SHOWER FROM 1100 AM TO
200 PM. GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING COULD ACCOMPANY THESE
STORMS TODAY. THE BEST CHANCE FOR STORMS APPEARS TO BE BETWEEN
200 AND 500 PM AS THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE SLOWLY PUSHES THROUGH
THE BURN AREA. WESTERLY STEERING FLOW LEAVES OPEN THE POSSIBILITY
FOR STORMS TO MOVE BACK TOWARD THE BURN AREA LATER IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH THIS MORNING
                    BECOMING SOUTHEAST 8 TO 10 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100....2 FROM 1100-1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
                    4500 FT AGL BY EARLY AFTERNOON
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....29.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....        ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT ISO ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE....        SH  SH  TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............82  84  86  87  88  89  88  87  86  85  83  82
RH..............77  72  65  65  63  61  63  65  68  70  74  77
20 FT WIND DIR..WSW SW  SW  SSW S   ESE ESE  SE SE  SE  S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..3   4   5   6   6   8   9   10  9   9   8   6
20 FT WIND GUST.                    11  12  13  12  11  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6.
LVORI...............6.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-4400 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....38.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...CRISTALDI
REQUESTED BY...ROB ROSSMANITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120817.JDSPC.01/MLB