FNUS74 KOUN 171338
FWSOUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR CONCHO-BIA...BIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
838 AM CDT FRI AUG 17 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0845 CDT ON AUGUST 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS THE REGION. NORTHEAST TO
EASTERLY WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING
BEHIND A COLD FRONT THAT HAS MOVED INTO NORTH TX. COOLER TEMPS
WILL KEEP MIN RH ABOVE 30 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON...AND RECOVERY
TOMORROW MORNING WILL BE GOOD NEAR 70 TO 80 PERCENT. THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES WILL INCREASE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING TO 40
TO 50 PERCENT. EXPECT THE WINDS TO BECOME MORE SOUTHEASTERLY BY
TOMORROW MORNING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000-7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............68     76     82     86     88     87
RH..............51     43     38     35     34     35
20 FT WIND......NE 9   E 10   E 8    E 7    E 8    E 7
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     10     15     10
MIX HGT (FT)....2000   4400   5600   6400   6700   6000
MIX HGT (M).....610    1340   1710   1950   2040   1830
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 13  E 12   N 3    NE 1   E 5    SE 5
TRAN WIND (M/S).NE 6   E 5    N 1    NE 0   E 2    SE 2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-5100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1400 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300-7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BARNES
REQUESTED BY...NATHAN LILLIE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120817.CONCH.01/OUN