FNUS76 KPQR 172235 FWSPQR SPOT FORECAST FOR BOBBY...USFS WNF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR 335 PM PDT FRI AUG 17 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1507 PDT ON AUGUST 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR VERY DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY FOR THUNDERSTORMS AND DRY FUELS... .DISCUSSION...A HOT AND DRY AIR MASS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE FIRE AREA THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING. THERMAL LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FIRE AREA THROUGH 6 PM THIS EVENING ON ITS WAY EAST OF THE CREST. THE POTENTIAL FOR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR ON EXISTING OR NEW FIRES WILL CONTINUE UNTIL AROUND SUNSET ACROSS THE CASCADES. THE OTHER PROBLEM WILL BE THE INCREASING THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS BEGINNING EARLY THIS EVENING AFTER 5 PM AND ESPECIALLY ON SATURDAY. VERY LITTLE RAINFALL WILL ACCOMPANY ANY STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP. A BETTER THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY AS SOUTHERLY FLOW AND MID LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASE. HOWEVER...RAINFALL RATES WILL STILL BE INSUFFICIENT TO ADEQUATELY MOISTEN FUELS. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO FORM WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTY WINDS. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. CWR (%).............5 PERCENT INCREASING TO 15 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61. MAX HUMIDITY........60-68 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. TIME (PDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........30 40 40 55 55 55 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSSHWR TSSHWR TSSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............80 76 70 67 64 62 RH..............26 32 40 48 55 61 20 FT WIND......VRB 3 VRB 4 NW 1-3 NW 1-2 VRB 2 VRB 2 MAX GUST.....6 6 5 5 5 5 CWR.............5 10 10 10 10 10 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. CWR (%).............25 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-76. MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST 4 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. TIME (PDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........75 75 75 66 66 66 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSSHWR TSSHWR TSSHWR TSSHWR TSSHWR TSSHWR TEMP............61 62 65 69 72 73 RH..............65 61 52 44 38 35 20 FT WIND......E 3 SE 2 SE 2 E 1 E 3 E 3 MAX GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 CWR.............15 15 20 25 25 25 $$ FORECASTER...COLLINS REQUESTED BY...ERIC JOHNSON REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120817.BOBBY.01/PQR