FNUS75 KVEF 171855
FWSVEF

SPOT FORECAST FOR MT TRUMBULL COMPLEX...CCIFC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1155 AM PDT FRI AUG 17 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1124 PDT ON AUGUST 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS
MOHAVE COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
HEAVY RAINFALL WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP. BASED ON LATEST
GUIDANCE...RAINFALL RATES ASSOCIATED WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS LOOK TO BE
AROUND 1.5 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR IN GENERAL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT WHICH INCLUDES THE SITE AND
BASED ON OUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE...WE WOULD NEED RAINFALL RATES AT AND
OVER 1.5 INCHES PER HOUR TO FALL ACROSS ANY BASINS WITHIN THE SPOT SITE
FOR FLASH FLOODING TO OCCUR...SO THIS WILL BE A THREAT TODAY.
THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE THIS EVENING...WITH ISOLATED
STORMS PERSISTING OVERNIGHT. SATURDAY WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TODAY...WITH
SCATTERED COVERAGE ONCE AGAIN AND POTENTIAL FOR INTENSE RAINFALL RATES. A
CHANCE OF AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN CONTINUE SUNDAY
THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.




.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
  20 FT-10 MIN AVG..WEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
  10K FT WIND.......WEST 6 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 6 TO
                    9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR (>= 0.10 IN)....12 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 6 TO 8 KNOTS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION.........GOOD.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT.
  20 FT-10 MIN AVG..SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
  10K FT WIND.......NORTH 6 TO 10 MPH.
CWR (>= 0.10 IN)....12 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 DECREASING TO 1 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 8 KNOTS IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
VENTILATION.........GOOD.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.
  20 FT-10 MIN AVG..UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4 TO 8 MPH BECOMING WEST 6 TO
                    8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
  10K FT WIND.......NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
CWR (>= 0.10 IN)....14 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 6 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........GOOD.

$$
FORECASTER...KENNEDY
REQUESTED BY...IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120817.MTTRU.01/VEF