FNUS76 KMFR 181135
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR NELSON...NORCAL BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
435 AM PDT SAT AUG 18 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0412 PDT ON AUGUST 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR
ABUNDANT LIGHTNING AND DRY FUELS...

.DISCUSSION...THE MAIN CONCERN THROUGH THIS EVENING WILL BE THE
POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR AND UNDER THOSE STORMS. RIGHT NOW, MOST
OF THE ACTION IS WEST OF THE BURN AREA...BUT EXPECT ACTIVITY TO
INCREASE NEAR OR OVER THE BURN AREA BY MID MORNING AND LASTING
THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE THIS
EVENING WITH MOST ENDING AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. DRY WEATHER
RETURNS SUNDAY WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF SMOKE THROUGH THE DAY.
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MID
                    MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    MID TO LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON..
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-90.
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VARIABLE 2-5 MPH WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    UP TO 18 MPH NEAR AND UNDER THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 2-4 MPH EARLY. THEN SOUTH 4-6 MPH
                    EXCEPT FOR GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS UP TO
                    24 MPH NEAR AND UNDER THUNDERSTORMS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. AREAS OF SMOKE
                    THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-53.
MAX HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST 2-4 MPH IN THE EVENING...EXCEPT FOR
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
                    VARIABLE 0-2 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................11 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 6-10 MPH IN THE EVENING...EXCEPT FOR GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS UP TO 25 MPH EXPECTED NEAR AND
                    UNDER THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING SUNNY. AREAS OF
                    SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-89.
MIN HUMIDITY........8 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VARIABLE 0-2 MPH IN THE MORNING. WEST 2-4 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1-3 MPH IN THE MORNING. WEST 5-8 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...PETRUCELLI
REQUESTED BY...RICHARD THAYER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120818.NELSO.01/MFR